Mineros - Sol de America Prediction, Picks and Tips
Match for the second tournament of importance in South America, which should show teams "second level", but shows teams of third or fourth level in many cases, therefore, the great difference of category that has the Copa Libertadores. But anyway, that's what gives us shares with value, like this one today. Mineros of Guyana from Venezuela face the Sun of America from Paraguay. And in itself, seeing that a Venezuelan club faces a Paraguayan one, we already think immediately, that the Paraguayan team, whatever it is, is superior. And historically, matches between teams from these countries have been victorious mostly for the guaranies. And this even playing as visitors. But Mineros has played against other Paraguayans, as against Nacional de Paraguay, who faced him in the last edition of the South American Cup, where both games were goalless draws. They also played in 2013 against Libertad, where "el gumarelo" won 2 the two games: 2 to 0 in Paraguay and 2 to 1 in Venezuela. They also played in 2012 against Cerro Porteno, where the Paraguayans tied at 2 in Venezuela and thrashed 4-0 in Paraguay.
Sun of America, played in 2017 against Students of Caracas, where they thrashed 7 to 1 !!!, where the Paraguayan team showed a HUGE superiority, before a Student, which in theory is more than this Miners. Also, in the first leg, Sol de America had won IN VENEZUELA by 3 to 2, with a goal by Villagra and a double by Gimenez. In conclusion, that the Venezuelans win this game would be something without a doubt HISTORICAL. And is that neither is going through a good time. Miners from Guyana, are halfway through the Venezuelan championship and have 3 games without seeing the victory: they lost with Aragua 2 to 0, with Caracas 4 to 2 and tied 1 with Zulia. Sun of America, this ninth as Miners in his country, but with the Paraguayan championship of only 12 teams. They have 4 games without seeing the victory: Guarani scoring them 4 to 1 and Cerro Porteno crushed them 7 to 1. But they come from drawing 2 with Libertad and 0 with Deportivo Capiata. If anything stands out Guarani team, is that it has recovered in the last two games, mainly in that draw as a visitor to a large as is Liberty, a game that was losing twice. In a BAD run of both, I lean towards the share of more value, which is the victory of Sol de America.
However, when evaluating the odds according to "The Abreu method" we see that the probability to the victory of the Paraguayans is greater, and this is due to the fact that Sol de America does 4 games that does not win, which increases the chance, since in 48% of the cases in which Sol de America has 4 matches without winning, the next one wins. Finally, the value in the quotas, as shown in the graph, is clear, the great value that has the victory of the guaranies, which is also the only thing that has value, and above 10%, which shows that with the forecasts that I put, we get a minimum of 10% long-term yield. The only thing that could "break" this forecast, is that historically the Miners is more than Sun of America. This is the only point where they are favorites. In the confrontations aspect between Venezuelans and Paraguayans, the guaranies are favorites, and if we consider that they play in Venezuela, at least a draw. If we see the current gusts of both, are even, and when we have a situation of parity like this, we must lean towards the share of more value, in this case, the Sun of America. And finally, the "Metodo Abreu" gives the Paraguayan winner, mainly due to his delay of 4 games without winning ... For all this, most factors tell us not to win the Sun of America, but what has more value, is the VICTORIA DE SOL DE AMERICA.
Our recommendation tip for Mineros - Sol de America : BTS / NO @ 1,72