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Ajax - Atalanta   Prediction, Picks and Tips  


 
  
The UEFA Champions League has seldom been as exciting as it is now. In Group D, too, the decision of who will make it to the round of 16 alongside Liverpool will only be made on the last matchday. Second place is determined in a direct duel. Ajax Amsterdam meet Atalanta Bergamo. According to the odds, an even game awaits us in which no clear favorite can be named.

The starting position is still clear. A draw in the Dutch capital is enough for the northern Italians to reach the knockout round of the premier class, as in the previous year. Ajax, on the other hand, absolutely needs a three-point in order to overtake the direct competitor in the group D classification.

What should also be taken into account in the forecast between Ajax Amsterdam and Atalanta Bergamo is the fact that coach Gian Piero Gasperini's team did not play at the weekend and thus had over a week to prepare for the important away game.

It is also positive to mention that “La Dea” was able to make both guest appearances victorious in the current group stage and could thus become the first club since 2012/13 (AC Milan) to actually make it through to the next round without a home win. Anyone who lands a threesome at Anfield Road definitely has the potential to bring a largely inexperienced Ajax team to their knees. Atalanta should also benefit from the fact that the host has to take more risk as the game progresses and therefore inevitably releases rooms.

 
 


 
 

Should Ajax Amsterdam fail to make it into the round of 16 on Wednesday evening, they would have to blame themselves for it. If we look at the results of Erik ten Hag's team so far, it becomes clear that the Dutch champions could have been in a much more comfortable starting position before the last match day. For example, the white-reds lost twice just 0: 1 against Liverpool and also lost a 2-0 lead in the first leg at Atalanta Bergamo (final score: 2: 2).

Nonetheless, the “Godenzonen” still have progress in their own hands. The prerequisite for this is a home win against the direct competitor from northern Italy. Between Ajax Amsterdam and Atalanta Bergamo, however, a tip on the home side carries a risk insofar as the Dutch are the second youngest starting eleven in the Champions League group stage (24 years on average). Will Erik ten Hag's talent collection pay tuition on Wednesday?
 
There seems to be a certain connection between the usually young Ajax teams and the "fear" of big games, because of the last 13 matches that took place on matchday six of the group stage, the Eredivisie leaders only won two.

In addition, a small question mark must be placed behind the current constitution, because Ajax could not convince, especially in the 1: 2 at home against Twente at the weekend. Perhaps this will change now when it comes to an Italian representative, because in the last seven duels against clubs from Serie A, the Amsterdammers have remained undefeated. But: Only two of these seven matches were won, five games ended in a draw.

To make matters worse in the “do-or-die” duel, with David Neres, Mazraoui and Kudus, three important actors will most likely not be available. It will be all the more important that veteran Tadic carries the burden on his shoulders. The Serb was involved in five of the seven Ajax goals, but has been waiting for a goal for eight home games in the premier class.


 
 
 
 
 

 
 
The fact that Atalanta Bergamo has a better starting position compared to Ajax Amsterdam before the last matchday in Group D is due to the surprising away win of the Northern Italians two weeks ago in Liverpool. At Anfield Road, the Gasperini-Elf offered a very strong performance and ultimately deservedly won 2-0.

Once again, the blue-blacks confirmed the thesis that they get along well, especially against attacking opponents. The most recent 1-1 draw at home against Midtjylland a week ago serves as a counterexample, which in view of the performance should definitely be one of the reasons why the odds between Ajax Amsterdam and Atalanta Bergamo turn out to be towards the Dutch.
 
Purely qualitatively and statistically, we see the advantages on the side of the guests, who on the one hand go into this important match more rested and on the other hand feel a little less pressure knowing that a draw would be enough.

In addition, the away record of the offensive “La Dea” is absolutely impressive. The last four guest appearances in the Champions League have all been won. Now you could only become the second Italian club to win in the premier class five times in a row abroad. Caldara, Miranchuk, Lammers and probably the German national player Gosens are not available for this endeavor.


 
 


Our recommendation tip for Ajax - Atalanta   :   BTS / YES  @ 1.38