Aston Villa - Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Tips
Match between Aston Villa and Newcastle, two teams that aim to maintain the category, in which we bet that Isaac Hayden will reach 30 passes.
The midfielder of the magpies averages 27.1 passes per game. And it is that Newcastle is the worst thing about keeping the ball. It is last in possession statistics with a very poor 37.9. To get the idea of how horrible this data is, just comment that the penultimate, which is the Burnley, averages 5% more, with 42.8% per game. But it is still above, when Newcastle plays as a visitor (like this Monday), its possession drops to a shameful 34.8%. And the next would be the Burnley with 42.1%, almost 8 percentage points above.
Then, after giving all these painful data, you will ask. Why do we go with this bet? Is it not contradictory? Well, no. Because despite all this negativity, its average is 27.1, only 3 below those we need. It is true that so far we would only have left 3 green in 9 games, but Newcastle has already faced West Ham, Leicester, Brighton, Liverpool, Tottenham, Norwich and Arsenal, all of them teams above 50% possession on average And this Monday he faces Aston Villa, a team that is not that he enjoys too much with the ball in his foot. Their average stays at 46% (48% when they play at home). And for example in the last game against Wolves, he let almost the entire midfielder and defense of the rival team surpass the line, leaving only Jonny with 28 passes. Last but not least, also comment on the loss of Lascelles in the center of the visiting defense, so there is the option of Steve Bruce returning to the defense of 4, which would undoubtedly make Newcastle have more possession and our pick many more options to be green.
Our recommendation tip for Aston Villa - Newcastle: BTS / YES @ 1.66